Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/54970
Title: Reference points for getting a target in a soccer competition. A probabilistic model with applications to the Spanish and English Premier League
Authors: Gómez Déniz, Emilio 
Dávila-Cárdenes, Nancy 
UNESCO Clasification: Investigación
Keywords: Fit
Championship
Quasibinomial Distribution
Reference Points
Relegation, et al
Issue Date: 2019
Journal: Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 
Abstract: We model the probabilities that a soccer team gets a target, for example, to play the Champions League, the UEFA Europa League or preserve the category. Taking into account the points won until de mth matchday of the competition, when the winter transfer window is closed. We give closed-form expressions for the probabilities of reaching the goals. We also introduce a risk measure which is going to give us the smallest initial points needed to ensure that the probability of getting the target is larger than a given level.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/54970
ISSN: 0361-0926
DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1465083
Source: Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods [ISSN 0361-0926], v. 48 (9), p. 2075-2087, (2019)
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