Identificador persistente para citar o vincular este elemento: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/42411
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dc.contributor.authorOliver, Alberten_US
dc.contributor.authorRodríguez, Eduardoen_US
dc.contributor.authorMazorra-Aguiar, Luisen_US
dc.contributor.otherOliver, Albert-
dc.date.accessioned2018-11-09T13:16:40Z-
dc.date.available2018-11-09T13:16:40Z-
dc.date.issued2018en_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-319-76875-5en_US
dc.identifier.issn1865-3529
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10553/42411-
dc.description.abstractProbabilistic wind forecasting is a methodology to deal with uncertainties in numerical weather prediction models (NWP). In this chapter, we describe the need for ensemble forecasting, the different techniques used to generate the different initial conditions, and the operational ensemble models that are used nowadays in meteorological agencies. Then, we develop an ensemble method designed for the down-scaling wind model described in Chap. 4 coupled with the AROME-HARMONIE mesoscale model, a non-hydrostatic dynamic forecast model described in Chap. 5. As we have explained in Chap. 4, some parameters need to be estimated since we do not know its exact value. These parameters are, basically, the roughness length and the zero plane displacement (explained in Chap. 2), as well as the Gauss moduli parameter (a) used in the diagnostic wind model. This estimation is the main source of uncertainties in the model; therefore we will estimate some of these parameters using different forecast values of the AROME-HARMONIE. Finally, an example of the approach is applied in Gran Canaria island with a comparison of the ensemble results with experimental data from AEMET meteorological stations.en_US
dc.languageengen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofGreen Energy and Technologyes-ES
dc.sourceWind Field and Solar Radiation Characterization and Forecasting. Green Energy and Technology [ISSN 1865-3529] / Perez Richard (eds), p. 129-145, (Enero 2018)en_US
dc.subject3322 Tecnología energéticaen_US
dc.subject.otherNumerical Weather Predictionen_US
dc.subject.otherSingular Vectorsen_US
dc.subject.otherMultimodel Ensemblesen_US
dc.subject.otherClimate Forecastsen_US
dc.subject.otherDaily Temperatureen_US
dc.subject.otherGlobal Ensembleen_US
dc.subject.otherSystemen_US
dc.subject.otherModelen_US
dc.subject.otherSkillen_US
dc.subject.otherEcmwfen_US
dc.titleWind field probabilistic forecastingen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/bookParten_US
dc.typeBook parten_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-319-76876-2_6en_US
dc.identifier.scopus85045988056-
dc.identifier.isi000441013400007-
dcterms.isPartOfWind Field And Solar Radiation Characterization And Forecasting: A Numerical Approach For Complex Terrain
dcterms.sourceWind Field And Solar Radiation Characterization And Forecasting: A Numerical Approach For Complex Terrain[ISSN 1865-3529], p. 129-145
dc.contributor.authorscopusid55499226000-
dc.contributor.authorscopusid7401953314-
dc.contributor.authorscopusid56971482900-
dc.description.lastpage145en_US
dc.description.firstpage129en_US
dc.investigacionIngeniería y Arquitecturaen_US
dc.type2Capítulo de libroen_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000441013400007-
dc.contributor.daisngid4484055-
dc.contributor.daisngid1187392-
dc.contributor.daisngid28998556-
dc.identifier.investigatorRIDK-8812-2013-
dc.utils.revisionen_US
dc.contributor.wosstandardWOS:Oliver, A-
dc.contributor.wosstandardWOS:Rodriguez, E-
dc.contributor.wosstandardWOS:Mazorra-Aguiar, L-
dc.date.coverdateEnero 2018en_US
dc.identifier.supplement1865-3529-
dc.identifier.ulpgcen_US
dc.identifier.ulpgcen_US
dc.identifier.ulpgcen_US
dc.identifier.ulpgcen_US
dc.contributor.buulpgcBU-INGen_US
dc.contributor.buulpgcBU-INGen_US
dc.contributor.buulpgcBU-INGen_US
dc.contributor.buulpgcBU-INGen_US
dc.description.sjr0,173
dc.description.sjrqQ3
dc.description.spiqQ1
item.fulltextSin texto completo-
item.grantfulltextnone-
crisitem.author.deptGIR SIANI: Modelización y Simulación Computacional-
crisitem.author.deptIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.deptDepartamento de Matemáticas-
crisitem.author.deptGIR SIANI: Modelización y Simulación Computacional-
crisitem.author.deptIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.deptDepartamento de Informática y Sistemas-
crisitem.author.deptGIR SIANI: Modelización y Simulación Computacional-
crisitem.author.deptIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.deptDepartamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-3783-8670-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-2701-2971-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-9746-7461-
crisitem.author.parentorgIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.parentorgIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.parentorgIU Sistemas Inteligentes y Aplicaciones Numéricas-
crisitem.author.fullNameOliver Serra, Albert-
crisitem.author.fullNameRodríguez Barrera, Eduardo Miguel-
crisitem.author.fullNameMazorra Aguiar, Luis-
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