Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/44419
Title: Basketball scoring in NBA games: An example of complexity
Authors: Saá Guerra, Yves de 
Martin Gonzalez, Juan Manuel 
Sarmiento Montesdeoca, Samuel 
Rodriguez Ruiz, David 
Arjonilla López, Nieves 
García Manso, Juan Manuel 
UNESCO Clasification: 5802 Organización y planificación de la educación
Keywords: Complexity
NBA
Non-linear
Poisson
Power law
Issue Date: 2013
Publisher: 1009-6124
Journal: Journal of Systems Science and Complexity 
Abstract: Abstract Scoring in a basketball game is a highly dynamic, non-linear process. NBA teams try to be more and more competitive each season. For instance, they incorporate into their rosters the best players in the world. This and other mechanisms concur to make the scoring process in NBA games exciting and rarely predictable. This paper is to study the behavior of timing and scoring in basketball games. The authors analyze all the games in five NBA regular seasons (2005-06, 2006-07, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2009-10), for a total of 6150 games. Scoring does not behave uniformly; therefore, the authors also analyze the distributions of the differences in points in the basketball games. To further analyze the behavior of the tail of the distribution, the authors also carry out a semilog-plot and a log-log plot to verify whether this trend approaches a Poisson distribution or a PL. This paper reveals different areas of behavior related to the score, with specific instances of time that could be considered tipping points of the game. The presence of these critical points suggests that there are phase transitions where the dynamic scoring of the games varies significantly. © 2013 Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, CAS and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/44419
ISSN: 1009-6124
DOI: 10.1007/s11424-013-2282-3
Source: Journal of Systems Science and Complexity [ISSN 1009-6124], v. 26, p. 94-103, (Febrero 2013)
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