Identificador persistente para citar o vincular este elemento: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/107170
Título: The economic impact of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic in Spain
Autores/as: Pinilla Domínguez, Jaime 
Barber Pérez, Patricia Lucía 
Vallejo Torres, Laura 
Rodríguez Mireles, Silvia 
González Lopez-Valcarcel, Beatriz 
Serra Majem, Luis 
Clasificación UNESCO: 32 Ciencias médicas
3212 Salud pública
Palabras clave: Bayesian Structural Time Series
Covid-19
Economic Impact
Spain
Uncertainty
Fecha de publicación: 2021
Publicación seriada: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 
Resumen: Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has hit both the Spanish economy and the popula-tion’s health hard. The result is an unprecedented economic and social crisis due to uncertainty about the remedy and the socioeconomic effects on people’s lives. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of the macroeconomic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 using key indicators of the Spanish economy for the 17 Autonomous Communities (ACs) of the country. National statistics were examined in the search for impacts or anomalies occurring since the beginning of the pandemic. To estimate the strength of the impact on each of the indicators analyzed, we used Bayesian structural time series. We also calculated the correlation between the rate of GDP decline during 2020 and the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the ACs. Results: In 2020, the cumulative impact on the gross domestic product was of −11.41% (95% credible interval: −13.46; −9.29). The indicator for business turnover changed by −9.37% (−12.71; −6.07). The Spanish employment market was strongly affected; our estimates showed a cumulative increase of 11.9% (4.27; 19.45) in the rate of unemployment during 2020. The worst indicators were recorded in the ACs most economically dependent on the services sector. There was no statistical association between the incidence of COVID-19 in 2020 and the fall in GDP in the ACs. Conclusions: Our estimates portray a dramatic situation in Spain, where the COVID-19 crisis has had more serious economic and health consequences than in other European countries. The productive system in Spain is too dependent on sectors vulnerable to the pandemic, and it is necessary to design and implement pro-found changes through the European Next Generation program.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/107170
ISSN: 1661-7827
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18094708
Fuente: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health [ISSN 1661-7827], v. 18 (9), 4708, (Mayo 2021)
Colección:Artículos
miniatura
pdf
Adobe PDF (1,42 MB)
Vista completa

Citas SCOPUSTM   

37
actualizado el 24-mar-2024

Visitas

180
actualizado el 09-mar-2024

Descargas

100
actualizado el 09-mar-2024

Google ScholarTM

Verifica

Altmetric


Comparte



Exporta metadatos



Los elementos en ULPGC accedaCRIS están protegidos por derechos de autor con todos los derechos reservados, a menos que se indique lo contrario.