Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10553/44535
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Grisolía Santos, José María | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Ortúzar, Juan de Dios | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-11-22T00:24:20Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2018-11-22T00:24:20Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2010 | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 0965-8564 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10553/44535 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Passenger demand and, in particular, mode choice between the islands of Gran Canaria and Tenerife has experienced important changes in the last decade. In 2005 the jetfoil, which had been the dominant mode for many years, was replaced by a slower but cheaper fast ferry service. This induced important changes in the market shares of all competing modes (airplane, slow ferry and another fast ferry with a shorter in-sea time, but needing a bus connection in land). We estimated several discrete choice models, with data collected two years before, with the aim to test their forecasting performance in relation with observed behaviour. Interestingly, we found that an easy to interpret multinomial logit model allowing for systematic taste variations performed best in forecasting. We also discuss some model assumptions related to forecasting that allow replicating the effects of introducing a new mode more accurately. We finally show how the model can be used to examine the social benefits of a related infrastructure improvement project in the island of Gran Canaria. | en_US |
dc.language | eng | en_US |
dc.relation.ispartof | Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice | en_US |
dc.source | Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice [ISSN 0965-8564], v. 44 (3), p. 159-168, (Marzo 2010) | en_US |
dc.subject | 531212 Transportes y comunicaciones | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Transportes interinsulares | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Discrete choice analysis | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Forecasts vs. outturn | en_US |
dc.subject.other | Inter-island travel demand | en_US |
dc.title | Forecasting vs. observed outturn: studying choice in faster inter-island connections | en_US |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/Article | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.tra.2009.12.005 | en_US |
dc.identifier.scopus | 76549099568 | - |
dc.identifier.isi | 000275992800004 | - |
dc.contributor.authorscopusid | 35306738400 | - |
dc.contributor.authorscopusid | 6603795051 | - |
dc.description.lastpage | 168 | en_US |
dc.description.firstpage | 159 | en_US |
dc.relation.volume | 44 | en_US |
dc.investigacion | Ciencias Sociales y Jurídicas | en_US |
dc.type2 | Artículo | en_US |
dc.contributor.daisngid | 2905766 | - |
dc.contributor.daisngid | 198995 | - |
dc.utils.revision | Sí | en_US |
dc.contributor.wosstandard | WOS:Grisolia, JM | - |
dc.contributor.wosstandard | WOS:Ortuzar, JD | - |
dc.date.coverdate | Marzo 2010 | en_US |
dc.identifier.ulpgc | Sí | en_US |
dc.contributor.buulpgc | BU-ECO | en_US |
dc.description.jcr | 1,601 | - |
dc.description.jcrq | Q1 | - |
dc.description.scie | SCIE | - |
dc.description.ssci | SSCI | - |
item.grantfulltext | none | - |
item.fulltext | Sin texto completo | - |
crisitem.author.dept | GIR Economía, Comercio y Transporte Marítimo | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Departamento de Análisis Económico Aplicado | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-7147-8851 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Departamento de Análisis Económico Aplicado | - |
crisitem.author.fullName | Grisolía Santos, José María | - |
Appears in Collections: | Artículos |
Items in accedaCRIS are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.