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Title: Analysis and forecasting of the red mullet Mullus surmuletus (Linnaeus, 1758) fishery off Gran Canaria (Canary Islands) using an ARIMA model
Other Titles: Análisis y predicción de las capturas de salmonete de roca Mullus surmuletus (Linnaeus, 1758) en aguas de Gran Canaria
Authors: Gonzalez Pajuelo, J. M. 
Lorenzo Nespereira, J. M. 
UNESCO Clasification: 3105 Peces y fauna silvestre
Keywords: Mullus surmuletus
Canary islands
Red mullet
ARIMA models
Issue Date: 1995
Publisher: 0074-0195
Journal: Boletín - Instituto Español de Oceanografía 
Abstract: The utility of AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models for analysing and forecasting catches of red mullet Mullus surmuletus (Linnaeus, 1758) off Gran Canaria (Canary Islands) was tested. A 13-year monthly record (January 1981-December 1993) of total red mullet catches from the southwestern end of the island was analysed. The model is capable of describing and forecasting the landings (U-Theil < 1) up to 24 months in advance. The catches show a trend and seasonality. The seasonality is due to the biological behaviour of the species and to deviation of the fishing effort from the demersal fishery to the tuna fishery.
ISSN: 0074-0195
Source: Boletin - Instituto Espanol de Oceanografia [ISSN 0074-0195], v. 11, p. 61-76
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