Identificador persistente para citar o vincular este elemento: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/117881
Título: The economic impact of global uncertainty and security threats on international tourism
Autores/as: Manrique De Lara Peñate, Casiano Alberto 
Gallego, Maria Santana
Valle, Elisabeth Valle
Clasificación UNESCO: 531290 Economía sectorial: turismo
Palabras clave: Input-Output Database
Terrorism
Corruption
Country
Demand, et al.
Fecha de publicación: 2022
Publicación seriada: Economic Modelling 
Resumen: Uncertainty and safety issues limit the expansion of the tourism sector. Previous literature has explored the impact of security problems on tourist flows, especially terrorism. However, the difficulty of measuring tourism in monetary terms has limited the ability to evaluate the economic costs of security and uncertainty. This paper brings together a worldwide gravity model for international tourist arrivals from 1995 to 2016 and an inter country input-output model for estimating the economic impact of terrorism, corruption and economic policy uncertainty in monetary terms. The research provides estimates of variations in tourist arrivals and value added under different scenarios, ranging from total security to maximum insecurity and uncertainty values at country and regional levels. Results show that the value added generated by tourism would increase by 14.3% if uncertainty and insecurity in each of the countries fell to their minimum level, and would decrease by 17.5% if they increased to their maximum level.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10553/117881
ISSN: 0264-9993
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105892
Fuente: Economic Modelling [ISSN 0264-9993],v. 113, (Agosto 2022)
Colección:Artículos
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